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Trump on Iran Again, Probability of Regime Change in Iran by June 30 Now at 38%
By: theblockbeats.news|2026/03/04 05:05:38
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BlockBeats News, March 4th: After a meeting between U.S. President Trump and German Chancellor Merkel, they both made statements. Merkel stated that she agrees with Trump on the issue of overthrowing the Iranian terrorist regime and that they will discuss the "post-Iran" era.
Trump stated that Iran is attacking countries unrelated to the current situation and no longer has air defense and detection facilities. The U.S. launched another attack on the new leader today, and we will continue to move forward. The worst-case scenario is that we attack Iran, and then the person who comes to power is just as bad as before. We hope to have a more suitable candidate. We will see how things go on the Iranian side, but first, we need to complete the military action. It may be more appropriate for (Iran) insiders to handle the Iran issue.
According to PolyBeats monitoring, after Trump's statement, on the prediction market Polymarket, the probability of "Iranian regime falling by June 30th" has slightly increased to 38%, and the probability of "Iranian regime falling by March 31st" has slightly increased to 16%.
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