logo

On Polymarket, the probability of "Fed Rate Cut in December" is as high as 93%, while the probability of "No Rate Cut in January" has risen to 68%.

By: theblockbeats.news|2025/12/08 14:16:03
0
Share
copy

BlockBeats News, December 8th, the Federal Reserve will announce its December interest rate decision this week. Currently, the probability of "Federal Reserve 25 Basis Point Rate Cut in December" on Polymarket is as high as 93%. The market has reached a high level of consensus on a rate cut this month.

Furthermore, the Federal Reserve will also announce its January interest rate decision on January 28th next year. As of the time of writing, the probability of "Federal Reserve No Rate Cut in January" has risen to 68%, while the rate cut probability is only 27%.

-- Price

--

You may also like

How to balance risk and return in DeFi yields?

Have these yields ever been reasonable? Have we ever received the compensation we deserve for the risks taken in DeFi, and where should the future spreads be set?

Tom Lee's Ethereum Thesis: Why the Man Who Called the Last Cycle Is Doubling Down on Bitmine

Tom Lee is emerging as one of Ethereum’s most influential supporters. From Fundstrat to Bitmine, his Ethereum thesis combines staking yield, treasury accumulation, and long-term network value. Here is why “Tom Lee Ethereum” has become one of crypto’s most watched narratives.

Naval personally takes the stage: The historic collision between ordinary people and venture capital

Naval personally stepped in as the chairman of the USVC Investment Committee. This SEC-registered fund launched by AngelList attempts to bring top private tech assets like OpenAI, Anthropic, and xAI to the general public with a $500 entry threshold. It is not just a new fund, but a structural experi...

a16z Crypto: 9 Charts to Understand the Evolution Trends of Stablecoins

Stablecoins are evolving from trading tools into universal payment infrastructure, and this process is quieter and more thorough than most people expected.

Refutation of Yang Haipo's "The End of Cryptocurrency"

This may be the true test of cryptocurrency. It's not about whether the price has reached a new high, nor about who will achieve financial freedom in the next bull market, but rather whether, after all the grand narratives have been washed away by cycles, it can still leave behind some simpler, more...

Can a hairdryer earn $34,000? Interpreting the reflexivity paradox of prediction markets

Prediction markets are essentially betting on reality, and when participants can access or even influence this path earlier, the market no longer just reflects reality but begins to shape it in return.

Contents

Popular coins

Latest Crypto News

Read more