Due to the "Fill the Gap in Missing Data" message, the market is once again betting on a rate cut in December.

By: theblockbeats.news|2026/03/29 13:41:00

BlockBeats News, November 19th, according to Polymarket data, the current prediction market probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in December has risen to 52%, while the probability of rates staying unchanged has decreased to 46%.

According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Fed in December has increased to 48.9%, up from 42.4% yesterday.

In today's news, a U.S. Department of Labor spokesperson stated that the Labor Department plans to catch up on the missing weekly initial jobless claims data from the government shutdown period by the end of Thursday local time.

Federal Reserve Chairman Waller's debut featured a significant slimming statement, the cancellation of forward guidance, refusal to submit the dot plot, and the establishment of five working groups, vowing to uphold the 2% inflation target, which triggered a sharp decline in U.S. stocks and a surge ...

From Disruptor to Shadow Market: The Crypto Market is Becoming a Colony of Traditional Finance

"Coin-stock linkage" has evolved from the early stage of macro correlation and one-way penetration of emotional funds to the current 3.0 stage, where on-chain perpetual contracts provide extended trading hours and emotional signal value for traditional assets 24/7, and participate in Pre-IPO pricing...

Dalio's important long article: How to position in the current market environment?

Do not confuse the excitement for new technologies with whether those tech stocks are attractive.

OKX Star analyzes Binance's competitive advantages: when regulation levels the playing field, competition has just begun

OKX founder Star published a lengthy article, systematically analyzing Binance's competitive advantages over the years: regulatory arbitrage, speculative narrative cycles, social media control, and superficial compliance, stating that the essence of these advantages is not product capability, but ra...

New gameplay for participating in initial offerings on cryptocurrency exchanges

In this competition for cutting-edge assets, what has always been truly scarce is not the technology, but the underlying equity itself.

Why Is Bitcoin Down Today? What the Hawkish FOMC Means for SpaceX, Gold and Nasdaq

Why is Bitcoin down today? A hawkish FOMC pressured crypto and gold, while SpaceX surged to a $2.5 trillion valuation and Nasdaq gained attention. Here's what happened and why traders are looking beyond Bitcoin.

DeepSeek Financing Story

DeepSeek's financing insider information exposed: "Four-hour meeting" fully demonstrates Liang Wenfeng's determination for AGI, over a hundred institutions involved, Sequoia and Hillhouse rarely absent, not poaching talent is the hardest red line.

Morning Report | DeepSeek completes over $7 billion in financing, with a valuation exceeding $50 billion; Musk's personal wealth has surpassed the total market value of Bitcoin

Overview of Important Market Events on June 16

Cursor, why did you get on Musk's spaceship?

SpaceX set a record with its IPO, spending a staggering $60 billion to acquire the popular AI programming unicorn Cursor just four days later. Musk is using the ultimate puzzle of "super computing power + top coding engine" to propel the market value skyrocketing, surpassing Amazon in one fell swoop...

In the name of charity, for the benefit of the family: How the Trump family turned charity into profit?

This set of "beautiful rhetoric and value return to one's own people" has not stopped at charitable foundations; it has now almost been transferred intact to American Bitcoin.

Will Gold Break $4,500 After Tonight's Fed Decision? What XAUT and PAXG Traders Need to Know

The Federal Reserve announces its June rate decision tonight. Could gold break $4,500 next? Explore the latest gold price prediction, key Fed scenarios, and what they mean for XAUT and PAXG traders.

SharpLink CEO: How to understand that Ethereum developers have just surpassed 1 million?

The most important question in the cryptocurrency industry is not which chain is the fastest, but rather where top builders choose to build in the long term. Ethereum has just surpassed one million cumulative developers; what does this number mean?

Morning Report | MiCA grace period expires on July 1; Kalshi's trading volume in the first week of the World Cup breaks $5.1 billion, setting a record

Overview of Important Market Events on June 15

The foundation of SpaceX's trillion-dollar valuation: Who is dividing Musk's annual capital expenditure of tens of billions?

SpaceX Supply Chain Revealed: The Invisible Gold Mine Behind the Trillion-Dollar "Space Dream," from Nvidia's Computing Power Monopoly to China's Sole Supplier of Special Materials, these overlooked water-selling talents are the true wealth creation engine.

How to exit after asset tokenization?

Currently, three models have emerged, aimed at providing instant exit routes for tokenized real-world assets. Their differences lie in: who holds the funds required for exit, how efficiently the funds operate, and the extent to which this model can be scaled across different asset types.

The stablecoin positioning battle escalates: When compliance is just a ticket to entry, will USD1 become the biggest winner?

How does the GENIUS Act reshape the stablecoin landscape?

Will MicroStrategy fall into a death spiral? What will the macro trend be in the second half of the year?

The cryptocurrency industry may gradually shift from the hype of native altcoins to real asset tokenization, on-chain machine economy, and a more mature industrialization phase.

Morning Report | Illinois signs the strictest digital asset tax law in the U.S.; RWA tokenization market size surpasses $43 billion, institutions accelerate the migration of on-chain assets

Overview of Important Market Events on June 17

Full version of the debut Q&A! Federal Reserve Chairman Waller: Sticking to the 2% inflation target, establishing five special working groups, individual did not submit the dot plot