logo

Analysis: Fed Rate Cut Almost a Certainty, Market Focuses on Voting Divisions and Powell's Language

By: theblockbeats.news|2025/12/08 15:45:56
0
Share
copy

BlockBeats News, December 8th. This week's Federal Reserve interest rate meeting is expected to be one of the most controversial meetings in years. Investors are watching closely to see the extent of the policymakers' disagreement on rate cuts and the signals Chair Powell will release regarding the future path.

Asset management firm Janus Henderson believes that, in the long term, the December meeting will not have a significant impact on the market. There may be some short-term volatility, but the actions in the first half of 2026 will be more important than those in December.

Trust company Wilmington Trust believes that the market has already largely digested the Fed's rate cut actions, and the real key is the Fed's policy guidance. They expect the Fed to be very cautious, emphasizing dependence on economic data. Some observers believe that the probability of a Fed rate cut is not as high as the market implies, and they are more concerned about Powell's statements and the closeness of the policy vote.

Nomura economists point out that nothing is certain at the moment, and the market underestimates the risk of the Fed choosing not to cut rates in December. The interesting question will be how many dissenting votes there will be if a rate cut decision is made. With the rotation of four regional Fed presidents, their stances will reveal how much independence they intend to maintain and how much pressure they will exert on the Fed. (Jinshi)

-- Price

--

You may also like

How to balance risk and return in DeFi yields?

Have these yields ever been reasonable? Have we ever received the compensation we deserve for the risks taken in DeFi, and where should the future spreads be set?

Tom Lee's Ethereum Thesis: Why the Man Who Called the Last Cycle Is Doubling Down on Bitmine

Tom Lee is emerging as one of Ethereum’s most influential supporters. From Fundstrat to Bitmine, his Ethereum thesis combines staking yield, treasury accumulation, and long-term network value. Here is why “Tom Lee Ethereum” has become one of crypto’s most watched narratives.

Naval personally takes the stage: The historic collision between ordinary people and venture capital

Naval personally stepped in as the chairman of the USVC Investment Committee. This SEC-registered fund launched by AngelList attempts to bring top private tech assets like OpenAI, Anthropic, and xAI to the general public with a $500 entry threshold. It is not just a new fund, but a structural experi...

a16z Crypto: 9 Charts to Understand the Evolution Trends of Stablecoins

Stablecoins are evolving from trading tools into universal payment infrastructure, and this process is quieter and more thorough than most people expected.

Refutation of Yang Haipo's "The End of Cryptocurrency"

This may be the true test of cryptocurrency. It's not about whether the price has reached a new high, nor about who will achieve financial freedom in the next bull market, but rather whether, after all the grand narratives have been washed away by cycles, it can still leave behind some simpler, more...

Can a hairdryer earn $34,000? Interpreting the reflexivity paradox of prediction markets

Prediction markets are essentially betting on reality, and when participants can access or even influence this path earlier, the market no longer just reflects reality but begins to shape it in return.

Contents

Popular coins

Latest Crypto News

Read more