After the release of the unemployment rate and non-farm payroll data, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December has risen to 41.6%.

By: theblockbeats.news|2026/03/29 15:04:35

BlockBeats News, November 20th. According to CME's "FedWatch" data, after the release of the US September unemployment rate and non-farm payroll data at 21:30 tonight, the probability of a 25 basis point interest rate cut by the Fed in December is 41.6%, higher than the pre-announcement value of 27.8%, with the probability of no change at 58.4%.

Earlier reports indicated that the US September unemployment rate was 4.4%, higher than the expected 4.30% and the previous value of 4.30%. The US September seasonally adjusted non-farm employment increased by 119,000, exceeding the expected 50,000, with the previous value revised from an increase of 22,000 to a decrease of 0.4 thousand. The number of initial jobless claims in the US for the week ending November 15th was 220,000, with an expectation of 230,000.

Federal Reserve Chairman Waller's debut featured a significant slimming statement, the cancellation of forward guidance, refusal to submit the dot plot, and the establishment of five working groups, vowing to uphold the 2% inflation target, which triggered a sharp decline in U.S. stocks and a surge ...

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