2 addresses pooled $51k, betting on "No US Military Entry into Iran this Month"
According to PolyBeats monitoring, on the prediction market Polymarket, 2 addresses have collectively wagered $51,000 on the outcome "No" for the bet "The US military will not enter Iran before March 31," with an average entry price of 74¢ and a current price of 75.5¢. One of the addresses is a new account, while the other registered two days before the onset of the current Iran conflict and has accumulated $173k in profits through related event markets.
Per the settlement rules, for the outcome "Yes" to be satisfied, active-duty US military personnel must intentionally enter Iranian land territory for military, humanitarian, or similar purposes (entry into airspace or waters does not count). Special operations forces qualify, but intelligence personnel, military contractors, military advisors, senior officers executing diplomatic missions, and their entourages are excluded. Additionally, scenarios like a pilot being shot down that do not involve intentional entry into Iranian territory do not meet settlement criteria.
Addresses:
0x67327ef4880d4050ead195ca23203c61d8c1d7f0
0x0d46fd6a5c9f3ecd88c69e397c3dcdc8f0b9e9a2
Total Wager: $51k
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